Arsenal vs Newcastle: Tips, Odds, and Match Preview

Arsenal and Newcastle will collide this Sunday in Week 37 of the English Premier League, but it won’t be any other match for either club. These two teams are battling to secure a spot in the league phase of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League, and with only two points separating them, and two matches left, this is a do-or-die game for both teams.

If Arsenal secure the three points, they’d pretty much seal second place in the standings, while a defeat could see them fall to fourth. The scenario is even more complicated for the Magpies, as they could fall out of the UCL qualification zone and down to sixth place with a loss here if other results go against them. It only takes a glance at the standings to see that there are more things than just three points at stake in this contest.

Gunners Must Wake Up Before It’s Too Late

There was a time earlier this season in which Arsenal looked like the only team that could pose a threat to Liverpool’s title chances in the Premier League. Fast forward to May, and not only have the Reds already won the title, but there’s a scenario in which Arsenal might not even make it to the UEFA Champions League of the 2025-26 campaign.

The Gunners enter this round in second place in the standings, so they still have a cushion, but their recent results haven’t been inspiring. Mikel Arteta’s men enter this clash at the Emirates Stadium on a three-game winless skid in league play (D2, L1) and having won just once in their last five (W1, D3, L1). Arsenal must wake up in this game, because suffering another loss could be a fatal blow for their UCL dreams, especially if other results go against them.

Arsenal Injury & Suspension News

Mikel Merino (suspension), Kai Havertz (hamstring), Gabriel (hamstring), Gabriel Jesus (knee) and Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) have all been ruled out for Sunday’s clash. Declan Rice (hip) is a game-time call for this match, while Jurrien Timber (undisclosed) and Leandro Trossard (hamstring) also fall in that category.

Newcastle Head to London on a High

Arsenal might be struggling, but Newcastle’s rise also needs to be highlighted. The Magpies enter this game having won three of their last five Premier League matches (W3, D1, L1) and are coming off a huge 2-0 win over Chelsea at St. James’ Park the last time out. Newcastle have been so good in recent weeks that a scenario in which they defeat Arsenal at the Emirates, an outcome that would move them to second place in the standings, can’t be ruled out.

Newcastle’s road record might create some caution, as the Magpies have only won eight of their 18 matches away from home in the current EPL campaign (W8, D4, L6) and are winless in three of their last five (W2, D1, L2). However, they escaped with a 2-0 victory when they visited the Emirates in January this year in the EFL Cup semifinals. Eddie Howe’s men already know what it means to win in this venue and will feel confident on their chances of repeating that outcome.

Newcastle Injury & Suspension News

Sven Botman (knee) and Joe Willock (knee) have been listed as game-time calls for Sunday, though neither player might end up being available. Joelinton (knee), Matt Targett (hamstring), Kieran Trippier (calf) and Lewis Hall (foot) have been ruled out for this contest and might not return before the end of the 2024-25 campaign.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction

Recent matches between Arsenal and Newcastle haven’t been filled with goals, and the best example of that is the fact that their last three H2H meetings have finished with under 2.5 total goals. The same thing has happened in four of their last five, and in three of the previous four H2H at the Emirates Stadium. Knowing this is a pivotal game for both clubs, and that one mistake could spell disaster, don’t be surprised if this ends up being another low-scoring affair.

CryptoGamba tip: Under 2.5 goals – 2.10 @JackBit